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Sunday, October 6, 2013
The Certainty Of Uncertainty Principle In The Open Water
When we see swimmers strive but not complete an open water swim or crossing, John Wooden's definition of success seem extremely relevant.
Often, Mother Nature is not cooperative on swims that do not end as the swimmers wish. The dynamic conditions in the water make it impossible or extraordinarily difficult for the swimmer But Mother Nature's actions lead swimmers to dig deeper than they ever thought possible. They dig deep, but Mother Nature has greater resources on her side.
When open water athletes swim long distances, there is so much that can happen. The probability of the unexpected occurring increases with time and distance in the water. We call this principle 'The Certainty of Uncertainty'.
The Certainty of Uncertainty Principle is a fundamental observation in the open water swimming community where swimmers find that the longer the swimmer is in an open body of water, the greater possibility and increasing probability that (a) adverse conditions will occur to make a swim longer, more difficult, or impossible, and (b) marine life will appear. This is especially true in ocean swims and in swims in large lakes as it relates to currents, winds, tides, eddies, sharks, jellyfish, waves, and seasickness.
With the advent of GPS technology and a growing experience of escort pilots, navigational errors are now largely taken out of the equation, but there used to be a third parameter in this Certainty of Uncertainty principle: (c) navigational errors will lead to greater distances to be swum.
The Uncertainty Principle can also result in more favorable conditions for the swimmer who finds that the conditions occasionally smooth out as time passes. The case of Héctor Ramírez Ballesteros in the Strait of Gibraltar is a case of The Certainty of Uncertainty Principle that works in the favor of the swimmer.
Copyright © 2013 by Open Water Swimming
Open Water Swimming Magazine
Open Water Swimming MagazineThe Open Water Swimming Magazine is the monthly magazine entirely focused on open water swimming heroes and heroines of every age, ability, and background. Published by the World Open Water Swimming Association, the Open Water Swimming Magazine is a free benefit to WOWSA members.
WOWSA Member Benefits include 12 issues of the Open Water Swimming Magazine, the annual 276-page Open Water Swimming Almanac, a free listing in Sponsor My Swim, outstanding product discounts from FINIS, an entry in Openwaterpedia and more...
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The Other Shore follows world record holder and legendary swimmer Diana Nyad as she comes out of a thirty-year retirement to re-attempt an elusive dream: swimming 103 miles non-stop from Cuba to Florida without the use of a shark cage. Her past and present collide in her obsession with a feat that nobody has ever accomplished. At the edge of The Devil’s Triangle, tropical storms, sharks, venomous jellyfish, and one of the strongest ocean currents in the world, all prove to be life-threatening realities. Timothy Wheeler’s documentary brings Diana Nyad’s extraordinary adventure to life as Diana sets out to prove that will and determination are all you need to make the unimaginable possible.
2014 Open Water Swimming Almanac
An Almanac for Open Water SwimmingAn almanac is essentially a body of knowledge which is so complete that it enables people in different fields to make predictions about the future of their respective industries.
This, for example, was the purpose of the traditional farmers almanacs. It enabled farmers to determine as accurately as possible which crops to plant for the greatest harvests in a given year.
But the farmers almanac was just one example among many.
There are, of course, many different kinds of almanacs.
In fact, there is even one for open water swimming...
Preview the Open Water Swimming Almanac:
The trends are very clear.
The tide is rising for open water swimming.